Home Page About us Forum MIL

Member Register



Self-Driving Technology Threatens Nearly 300,000 Trucking Jobs, Report Says

9/12/2018 8:19:39 AM

Impact would come over 25 years, with projections for lighter job loss seen than other forecasts, but higher-paying trucking work could take a hit

Autonomous driving technology could replace some 294,000 long-distance truck drivers over the next 25 years, a lighter impact than some have predicted but one that could still significantly reshape freight-industry employment, according to a new research paper.

The changes would likely eliminate some of the best-paid positions held by the more than 2 million heavy-duty truck drivers in the U.S., according to the analysis by Steve Viscelli, a sociologist who is a fellow at the University of Pennsylvania’s Robert A. Fox Leadership Program and a senior fellow at its Kleinman Center for Energy Policy.

Using autonomous vehicles for long-haul cargo runs, the most likely near-term scenario, would also spur increased demand for delivery and local trucking jobs, which tend to be lower-paid and often have poor working conditions, the report said.

Many experts believe the trucking industry is a significant market for autonomous-vehicle technology, in part because long-distance highway driving is less complicated than navigating city streets. Trucking companies are interested in the technology because it could help them address high driver turnover and safety regulations that limit truckers’ hours behind the wheel,

Mr. Viscelli, who worked as a truck driver for several months while researching his 2016 book, “The Big Rig: Trucking and the Decline of the American Dream,” interviewed computer scientists, startups, carriers, equipment manufacturers and other experts as he studied how self-driving technology might be used in the trucking industry. He calculated the likely job impacts based on industry-reported data on driver headcount and revenue for various trucking segments.

The jobs facing the greatest risk, he said, are those where drivers move cargo over hundreds of miles but perform few specialized non-driving tasks, such as unloading freight, coupling trailers or inspection and maintenance. Although many long-haul truckload drivers work in often grueling conditions for less than $50,000 a year, the at-risk category also includes more lucrative jobs moving goods for package-delivery companies such as United Parcel Service Inc. or for less-than-truckload carriers, which combine multiple shipments on each truck.

“The risk of autonomous trucks is not that there won’t be enough jobs for American truckers, it’s that there won’t be enough good jobs,” Mr. Viscelli wrote in the report, which said job training programs could help drivers adjust to the changes.

The research is being released this week and was commissioned by the Center for Labor Research and Education at University of California, Berkeley, and Working Partnerships USA, a Silicon Valley-based community organization focused on economic inequality.

Proponents of autonomous technology say self-driving trucks could lower freight costs and improve productivity and safety. Driverless vehicles are being used in controlled industrial settings, such as mining operations. Several companies have tested the use of self-driving trucks to haul freight on public roads.

But mass adoption remains subject to a host of regulatory and other hurdles. Recent fatalities involving autonomous passenger cars have put a spotlight on problems with the technology. New investment in equipment and infrastructure to support self-driving vehicles, such as wireless communications networks for roads, is also needed.

Right now human-to-human platooning, where multiple trucks with drivers save fuel by using automated technology to drive in close formation to reduce wind resistance, “is pretty much ready to go,” Mr. Viscelli said.


May container volumes higher in Los Angeles, Long Beach (6/18/2014 9:38:08 AM)
Port of Virginia reports profitable May (6/18/2014 9:34:46 AM)
Singapore up 4.1pc in May to 2.94 million TEU, Hong Kong up 4.5pc (6/17/2014 8:30:59 AM)
Container throughput rises at India’s major ports (6/16/2014 9:09:05 AM)
French mega port system at Le Havre scores with Indian shippers (6/11/2014 9:04:52 AM)
‘Severe’ Congestion at Rotterdam Container Terminals May Last Months (6/5/2014 8:54:22 AM)
Shanghai April container volume increases 6.9pc to 3.02 million TEU (5/31/2014 9:15:44 AM)
Congestion clogs Rotterdam terminal (5/30/2014 9:23:46 AM)
St Petersburg increases first quarter box volume 6pc to 95,800 TEU (5/28/2014 8:15:06 AM)
Singapore Changi Airport's April cargo upticks 0.6pc to 151,100 tonnes (5/27/2014 8:44:36 AM)

Your comment

Email / Name / Tel:
The most comprehensive and easy-to-use global marine weather application
With the Courtesy of Bao Hoang Yachts Co.
Click "HERE" to get your own 30day free trail
or contact Ms Phuong Bui at Vietnam Shipper:
phuongbq@vil.com.vn / 08.39330 148

On its way to develop alternative energy-sources for greener aviation, Airbus is also supporting basic research activities for electric aircraft concepts “eGenius”...
more ...
Which column are you most interested in VietnamShipper?
Very great
Not very great

© 2005 Copyright byVietnam Institute of Logistics/ Vietnam Shipper. All right reserved. --- Contact for Advertisement

25th Floor, Pearl Plaza - 561A Dien Bien Phu Str., Binh Thanh Dist. HCMC - Vietnam - Tel: (+84.8) 3513 6399 - Fax: (+84.8) 3513 6359 - Email: admin@vietnamshipper.com